Global Macro Outlook - December 2017 - EM Growth To Accelerate In 2018 While DMs Plateau - FEB 2018


Acceleration in global growth in 2018 to be marked by improving emerging markets and slowing developed markets (ex-US)

  • Divergence to increase among emerging markets in 2018, as China's economy decelerates for the seventh year out of the past eight while EM ex-China continues accelerating

  • US to outperform among developed markets, though tax reform unlikely to provide big boost

  • EM Ex-China Picking Up
    Real GDP Growth (USD Nominal Weights)
    f=BMI Forecast. Source: BMI

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